Evaluation: How Republicans can nonetheless screw up 2022
And but, Mitch McConnell remains to be nervous.
He isn’t unsuitable! And there is loads of comparatively latest historical past McConnell can level to as proof of the hazards of selecting the unsuitable nominee.
Two years later, Missouri Republicans selected then-Rep. Todd Akin as their nominee. Akin shortly disqualified himself with feedback about “reliable rape.” Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill received the overall election simply.
Republicans have expressed concern that if Greitens is their Senate nominee, they may nicely lose a seat that, primarily based on latest presidential voting patterns, must be a simple maintain for them. However lots of those self same Republicans admit that they could not have the ability to cease Greitens from profitable.
Whereas Missouri is clearly the stickiest wicket for McConnell — and Republicans extra usually — contested primaries in Ohio, Pennsylvania and North Carolina all current some stage of political peril for the likes of McConnell, relying on who the occasion chooses to appoint.
Looming over all that is former President Donald Trump, who has made clear that he plans to be actively concerned within the 2022 major season. Trump and McConnell are already on reverse sides of the Alaska Senate race, as an example, with McConnell supporting Sen. Lisa Murkowski and Trump backing challenger Kelly Tshibaka.
The Level: Issues seems to be superb for McConnell and Senate Republicans. However Trump and the GOP base voters who’re loyal to him characterize a large x-factor that would badly complicate the occasion’s math.